Annual expenses
This is the most important input. Higher spending raises the FIRE number. Model the lifestyle you want to sustain, not only your minimum current budget.
Calculate the portfolio, savings rate, annual expenses, and timeline needed to reach FIRE in United States.
How Much Money Do You Need to Retire
SavingsAnnual Expense | 100K | 200K | 300K | 500K | 750K | 1000K | 2000K | 3000K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20K | 6Y | 16Y | 37Y | Forever | Forever | Forever | Forever | Forever |
| 30K | 3Y | 9Y | 16Y | 50Y | Forever | Forever | Forever | Forever |
| 40K | 2Y | 6Y | 10Y | 25Y | 75Y | Forever | Forever | Forever |
| 60K | 1Y | 3Y | 6Y | 12Y | 25Y | 50Y | Forever | Forever |
| 80K | 1Y | 2Y | 4Y | 8Y | 15Y | 25Y | Forever | Forever |
| 120K | 0Y | 1Y | 2Y | 5Y | 8Y | 12Y | 50Y | Forever |
| 150K | 0Y | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | 6Y | 9Y | 28Y | 100Y |
| 200K | 0Y | 1Y | 1Y | 2Y | 4Y | 6Y | 16Y | 37Y |
| 300K | 0Y | 0Y | 1Y | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | 9Y | 16Y |
Methodology
This United States FIRE calculator estimates your target portfolio from annual expenses and a safe withdrawal rate, then models how current assets, monthly savings, return, and inflation affect the timeline.
If annual expenses are $48,000 and the safe withdrawal rate is 4%, the target portfolio is about $1,200,000. A lower withdrawal rate raises the target and makes the plan more conservative.
This is the most important input. Higher spending raises the FIRE number. Model the lifestyle you want to sustain, not only your minimum current budget.
Return affects portfolio growth, while inflation raises future spending. Conservative assumptions usually make a better base plan than optimistic ones.
Monthly contributions can change the timeline materially. Raising income and controlling expenses are often more controllable than fine-tuning returns.
Estimate the portfolio required for financial independence from annual expenses and your safe withdrawal rate.
Compare current assets, monthly savings, return, and inflation to see whether retiring at 30, 40, or another target age is realistic.
Use the reference table and calculator result together to understand whether current assets are a bridge, a Coast FIRE base, or a full FIRE portfolio.
Your FIRE number is the investable portfolio you need for financial independence. A common first estimate is annual expenses divided by a safe withdrawal rate.
The 4% rule is a retirement withdrawal heuristic: withdraw about 4% of the portfolio in the first year, then adjust spending for inflation. It is useful for estimating a FIRE target, but it is not a promise.
A safe withdrawal rate is the percentage of your portfolio you plan to withdraw each year while trying to avoid running out of money. Lower rates require more assets but add resilience.
A FIRE number is only useful when the local assumptions behind it are realistic. Use this checklist to adapt the calculator to United States before relying on the result.
Estimate how income tax, capital gains tax, retirement account access, and contribution limits affect spendable cash.
Decide whether social security, public pension, or other benefits are a backup, a delayed income source, or excluded from the base case.
Model insurance premiums, out-of-pocket medical costs, and long-term care separately, especially for early retirement years.
Treat a primary home differently from investable assets unless it can be sold, rented, downsized, or borrowed against.
Check whether spending, income, and investments are exposed to different inflation rates or currencies.
ChooseFIRE can structure the calculation, but it cannot know your tax filing status, benefits, insurance plan, family obligations, or local policy changes. Revisit the assumptions whenever your region, currency, or residency plan changes.
FIRE calculator FAQ
It is roughly 25 times annual expenses when the safe withdrawal rate is 4%. If you use 3.5% or 3%, the target portfolio is higher.
Usually not in full if the home will not be sold, rented, or used for cash flow. FIRE modeling works best with assets that can generate returns or withdrawals.
Use a conservative return for the base plan, then compare an optimistic scenario separately. Avoid treating high historical returns as guaranteed future results.
Inflation raises future living costs, so the portfolio needed to support the same lifestyle may be higher in the future than it is today.
ChooseFIRE is for planning and education only. It is not investment, tax, or personalized financial advice. Real outcomes depend on markets, taxes, health costs, family changes, and local policy.